Biden's success could be attributed to many factors. A purple state refers to a swing state where both Democratic and Republican candidates receive many votes without an overwhelming majority for either party. The state went to Trump in 2016, but this time around, it flipped to Biden by a narrow margin. [53] White, middle-aged, Christian, married males made up McCain's largest constituency. Biden won by larger margins than Clinton in every county that voted for her except for Philadelphia, where he won by about 4,000 fewer votes than Democrats had in 2016. But. The only deviations from the preexisting red-blue paradigm were all in Obama's favor. Biden didn't flip any counties in Georgia. This election cycle, voters in Pennsylvania were universally able to vote by mail in the general election. Pennsylvania is generally considered a battleground state, although it voted Democratic in the six elections prior to 2016. But I've got news for them, too. Obama also came close to winning Missouri and Montana, losing both by a small margin. That made a difference in a state that was ultimately decided by roughly 45,000votes. Christopher On the expectation-setting remarked upon earlier from the Biden campaign about Florida, what are we to make of the fact that the campaign told me this a few days ago about Pennsylvania that "we can win without Pennsylvania," though they didn't think they'd needto? This problem is compounded if the units are not equally significant. If the U.S. followed such a pattern, blue would be used for the Republicans and red for the Democrats. By opting into newsletters you are agreeing to our. [47][48][49] A different poll that same year grouped the United States into five geographic regions, and found that 37% of Americans favored secession of their own region. Feelings of cultural and political polarization between red and blue states, which have gained increased media attention since the 2004 election, have resulted in increased mutual feelings of alienation and enmity. Both provided Obama with double-digit margins of victory over McCain. Although many red states and blue states stay in the same category for long periods, they may also switch from blue to red or from red to blue over time. But two of those five losing states that voted for Trump Michigan and Pennsylvania surprised most analysts since they have been blue-leaners for several years. Pennsylvania's median household income falls in the middle of the pack. Where the 'Blue Wall' Was Strongest, and Where Cracks Appeared. Joe Biden won back Pennsylvania for Democrats in the 2020 election after President Donald Trump carried the state in 2016. Maps of this type are termed choropleth maps, which have several well-known problems that can result in interpretation bias. Pennsylvania's CPVI is R+2. Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information. The Tennessee Department of Health reports that 1,451 people died of drug overdose within the state in 2015. It further claims that from 1976 to 2004, in an attempt to avoid favoritism in color-coding, the broadcast networks standardized the convention of alternating every four years between blue and red the color used for the incumbent president's party. In 2020, Joe Biden won Georgia and Arizona, states that had last voted Democratic in 1992 and 1996, respectively. Turn on desktop notifications for breaking stories about interest? Sen. Cory Gardner is now the only. With 100% of precincts reporting, Trump won the state with . Eight of the districts gave Trump 58% or higher. If youre willing to fight for Main Street America, click here to sign up for my free weekly email. I think most of these states that we have either red or blue are going to be up for grabs. Similarly, Tennessee was won by Bush in both 2000 and 2004, but going into 2004, its governor was a Democrat and both chambers of the state legislature were controlled by Democrats as well. Election results provided by the Associated Press. The state has 20 electoral votes at stake in the presidential race. It delivered a big margin for Clinton in2016. Sacrificing the Future to China for Bidens Green New Deal. The next batch will be reported at 9 a.m. (I am deleting my post earlier that said Philly officials said they were not reporting more mail-in results tonight, because it appears to have been based on incomplete information. [7] The parties themselves had no official colors, with candidates variously using either or both of the national color palette of red and blue (white being unsuitable for printed materials). But the distinction between the two groups of states is less simplistic. Would Pennsylvania make a better early primary state. "Amerika whlt Spiegel Online Nachrichten", "The Urban Archipelago: It's the Cities, Stupid", Choosing colors based on incumbent vs. challenger victory from November, 2004, The Honky Tonk Gap: Country Music, Red State Identity, and the Election of 2004, "Re-imagining the Red States: New Directions for Southern Studies. With the election year underway, we put together a state map that lays out the political landscape, based on February voter registration figures from the Pennsylvania Department of State. Iapologize.). 2023 Electoral Ventures LLC. And this basic arithmetic is in place even before voters factor in the disgraceful fact that VP candidate Kamala Harris is a self-admitted BLM-backed Marxist. We and our partners use data for Personalised ads and content, ad and content measurement, audience insights and product development. Some voters expressed concern about imposing constables, others reported feeling harassed. Data: Wikipedia through 2018; 270toWin research. Some election maps, however, have violated this tradition by simply coloring each areal unit with a red-blue mixture linked to voting ratio dataresulting in an "unclassified choropleth map". Prior to Election Day, the U.S. Supreme Court rejected a request by Pennsylvania Republicans to block a state court order that allows mail ballots arriving up to three days after Nov. 3 to be counted. "There is nothing inherently blue or red about this, by law or by design," Foley said. 24/7 coverage of breaking news and live events. Since the 1984 election, CBS has used the opposite scheme: blue for Democrats, red for Republicans. Let's continue our tour around the Electoral College. In a 2020 update from the Rockefeller Institute, the disparity between traditional blue and red states is even more significant, especially for the state of New York, Republicans' favorite target . Is Missouri a red state? By this definition, Arizona and Georgia are still (slightly) red states R+7.6 and R+7.4, respectively. We're not going to get a call out ofPennsylvania. Secondly, I'm looking to see if we get a sense tonight of how many "naked ballots" there are in the state. Pennsylvania has a long history of being consequential in presidential elections choosing 20 of the last 25 . If Jimmy Carter, the Democratic candidate that year, won a state, it was lit in red whereas if Gerald Ford, the incumbent Republican president, won a state, it was lit in blue. Well, Arizona is still counting and theres enough coming in to turn the state. It is 62 percent Republican, 25 percent Democrat and 13 percent other. Pennsylvania, where the U.S. Constitution was written, was the second state admitted to the Union, officially becoming a state in December 1787. Thirty of Penn's 44 counties gave Trump 60% of the vote. The exceptions were New Mexico (Al Gore in 2000 and Bush in 2004), Iowa (Gore in 2000 and Bush in 2004), and New Hampshire (Bush in 2000 and Kerry in 2004). The cartographer must choose how many classes to use and how to divide the data into those classes. Press Enter to view state-level map. These are general election results for the years listed. Which parts of Pennsylvania are red and blue -- or something in between? For example, due to the simultaneous contrast effect, the Bezold effect, and other factors, an area shaded light red surrounded by areas shaded dark red will appear even lighter. The county with biggest Republican edge is rural Snyder, near the center of the state. Various different maps, such as ones which coded states based on the strength of their support for one candidate or another, ones which gave results based on county, or ones which displayed states according to the size of their population, were proposed as correctives to this perceived flaw. Despite the prevalent winner-take-all practice, the minority always gets a sizable vote. Source: NYT exit polls: 24,537 surveyed[54], Source: CNN exit polls: 24,558 surveyed[55], Democratic We may not know results in PA fordays. So, assuming NYT's 98%+ reporting estimate is correct, Trump got more raw votes out of Washington County like he wanted quite a bit more. Holly My point in mentioning Montgomery County and Philly is that if those places aren't reporting all their votes, the red mirage scenario is still very much in place if the president chose thatroute. Use arrow keys to move around the map. With all eyes on Georgia and the upcoming Senate runoffs slated for Jan. 5, 2021, Emory College Dean Michael A. Elliott hosted a panel discussion Dec. 2 examining Georgia's new swing-state status and future role in American politics from business, marketing . Pennsylvanias demographic makeup has not altered dramatically in just four short years. The colors red and blue are also featured on the United States flag. [45][46] Red states and blue states are states that typically vote for the Republican and Democratic parties, respectively. With the caveat that we still know very, very little about Pennsylvania, let's zoom in on one county: Washington County, which is in the pro-Trump western part of the state. Biden's projected win in the state was fueled by significant gains in already-blue counties, including Atlanta (Fulton County) and its suburbs. Manage Settings Continue with Recommended Cookies. All Rights Reserved. [1] Examining patterns within states reveals that the reversal of the two parties' geographic bases has happened at the state level, but it is more complicated locally, with urban-rural divides associated with many of the largest changes.[2]. Update: Philadelphia officials tell me they will report more mail-in ballot results betweenmidnight and 1 a.m. I talked to several elected officials and voter rights groups today, and everyone reported high turnout, particularly in Philadelphia. It is not a red state. Global Liquidity Is Increasing Despite the Fed. Americas Colleges Have Become Progressive Liberal Rat Holes, Russia and the High Priesthood of the Neocon Synod, DeSantis Hits the Road for Law and Order Tour. Is It All Coming Apart in the Governments Face? The advent of color television in America during the late 1950s and early 1960s prompted television news reporters to rely on color-coded electoral maps, though sources conflict as to the conventions they used. More married men voted for McCain, but more single men voted for Obama. A measuring device or measuring instrument is a device to measure a physical quantity or degree of something in our lives every day. An email has been sent to with a link to confirm list signup. '"[20], There are several problems in creating and interpreting election maps. The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee also alluded the color scheme when it launched a national "Red to Blue Program" in 2006. Same Since 2000: After 2020 Election More than 75% of the land area is red, when looking at the map based on land areas, while shifting to the population view only about 46% of the map is red. In U.S. politics it's common to hear red states and blue states, but where did the expression come from? Dec. 10, 2020. The political map of Pennsylvania is often described as a T with Republicans holding sway up the center of the state and across its northern tier, and Democrats strongest in the southeast and southwest. The last two elections have seen five states and a district in Maine break their same party streaks. How red or blue is your state? These county-by-county and district-by-district maps reveal that the true nature of the divide is between urban areas and inner suburbs and rural and exurban areas. elections. Winner chosen by the House of Representatives [33] The polarization has been present for only four close elections (2000, 2004, 2016, and 2020). To win in 2016, Donald Trump broke through some of the 'blue wall' of 242 electoral votes that had voted Democratic in each presidential election since at least 1992. [1] The feature proved to be so popular that, four years later, all three major television networks used colors to designate the states won by the presidential candidates, though not all using the same color scheme. Anita What do you want to know? The state had an additional redistricting before 2018. State voted with the overall winning candidate. However, because of the large geographical size of many states in the Central and Southern United States, the color-coded map appeared to show great support for Bush and the Republicans with smaller outliers of Democratic support on the coasts and near the Great Lakes.[32]. Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin and one district in Maine voted Republican in 2016. Nearly every town, city and patch of farmland in the country is "purple", a mixture of people, each of whose own political preferences can vary. Most issues involving misunderstandings or miscommunication about voting rules and laws were resolved by Election Task Force prosecutors by phone, and DAO prosecutors and detectives also responded to investigate incidents at polling sites in all six Philadelphia Police divisions. Please help update this article to reflect recent events or newly available information. As of 2020, fully 35 out of 50 states in the U.S. have voted for the same party in every presidential election since the red-blue terminology was popularized in 2000. While I had less reporting on this, high turnout was also reported in the red parts of the state, too. Several incidents will require follow-up byinvestigators. (PA, GA, MI)". Georgia: Red, blue or purple? Save my name, email, and website in this browser for the next time I comment. For the GOP, this represented 179 electoral votes. However, the fun fact is that neither of the party national committees has officially accepted these color designations, though informal use by each party is becoming common. FiveThirtyEight's forecast currently expects these states to step slightly to the left in 2020, but there's a lot of uncertainty here, especially in a state like Maine where the error bars. Likewise, Vermont, New York, Massachusetts, Maryland, and Hawaii all voted for Democrat Kerry by wide margins, but all had Republican governors at the time. One problem occurs when areal units differ in size and significance, as is the case with election maps. During Biden's final stop in the state yesterday at a drive-in rally in Pittsburgh, following his barnstorm of the state with his running mate Kamala Harris and their spouses, he said for the zillionth time that he doesn't want to banfracking. Out of the counties in these states that Hillary Clinton lost in 2016, Biden won only eight of them. With proper treatments well known including proper dosages (vs. WHO stating in 1979 the potentially lethal dose of HCQ was 1500-2000 mg then attempted a study at 2400 mg in one day, that was designed to both fail and kill.) Pennsylvania is generally considered a battleground state, although it voted Democratic in the six elections prior to 2016. Last election, Pennsylvania was a red state. This is most evident in the Southern United States, where the state Democratic Party organizations tend to be more conservative than the national party, especially on social issues. Democrats, including Biden's campaign, spent a ton of money educating voters about this rule to prevent that. Colored bars represent electoral votes by party. On March 14, 2014, the California Republican Party officially rejected red and adopted blue as its color. Biden's margin of victory was under 1% in Arizona, Georgia, and Wisconsin, and it was under 1.2% in Pennsylvania. Biden ended up securing a broad Electoral College victory, but only thanks to relatively small margins of victory in key swing states. Latino voters in the state, like those across the U.S., constitute a solid base for Democrats. However, the combination of higher vote margins than Clinton in Tucson (Pima County) and Maricopa's flip from red to blue meant Biden still prevailed inthe state. Differing shades of red and blue compound this effect.[25]. I'm totally zeroed in on Pennsylvania tonight. Anita Trump aides were claiming high turnout in Republican areas in Luzerne, which is one of the three counties that flipped from supporting Obama to Trump in 2016. These states often had more regulations and higher taxes. President-elect Joe Biden flipped five states from red to blue this election Michigan, Wisconsin, Arizona, and Pennsylvania and is expected to flip Georgia, where he leads Trump. Given the general nature and common perception of the two parties, "red state" implies a conservative region or a more conservative American, and "blue state" implies a more liberal region or a more liberal American. Red states vs. blue states. During Election Day in 2016, Democrats reported good turnout in Philadelphia, and Clinton actually pulled out almost as many raw votes out of Philly as Obama in 2012. I just got off the phone with the City Commissioners office in Philadelphia, and they told me that all the machines that process mail ballots are up and running and that things are going smoothly. Will Israel Strike Before Iran Buys Russian S-400 Air Defense Systems. All 50 States of the United States of America contain both Democratic and Republican voters but only Blue or Red colors appear on the electoral map because of the winner-take-all system used by most states in the Electoral College. However, the current U.S. scheme has become so ingrained in the American election system that foreign sources who cover U.S. elections, such as the BBC, Der Spiegel and El Mundo follow with the red-Republican, blue-Democratic scheme for U.S. Wisconsin is a swing, or purple, state. List Of Blue States And Red States No. Virginia has continued voting for the Democratic presidential nominees (as well as increasingly electing Democrats at the state level), leading to its being reclassified as a blue state in recent years. Copyright 2023 | Terms & Conditions | About Us | Dick Young | Archives. 2023 Electoral Ventures LLC. All three of those states were very close in both elections. You have to beware with these reports, though. If . Tennessee. The analysis that suggests political, cultural and demographic differences between the states is more accurate when applied to smaller geographical areas. Idaho solidifies its ranking as a top retirement state by offering many tax breaks for seniors. Seven months into the coronavirus crisis, the states with the most severe unemployment in the country all seem to have one thing in common: They vote blue. On August 5, the risk of death in red states was 1.8 times higher than in blue. The answer, of course, is yes they are both of those. Here's why Pennsylvania is a Red State to the core. Inversely, in solidly red states, most voters in most urban counties voted for Democrat Barack Obama; good examples for this would be Dallas County, Texas and Fulton County, Georgia (the locations of major U.S. cities Dallas and Atlanta, respectively). Overview and Live Results: Chicago Mayoral Election, Legislative Special Elections, Michigan Rep. Elissa Slotkin Running for U.S. Senate, Initial 2024 House Ratings from Sabato's Crystal Ball. Geographic borders associated with district numbers may have changed. Before you read the Blue States and the Red States list, lets find out how the naming of a state with color started! High turnout meant long lines, which remain active at some locations.(Any eligible voter in line by 8 p.m. is permitted to vote. Traditional political mapmakers, at least throughout the 20th century, had used blue to represent the modern-day Republicans, as well as the earlier Federalist Party. Which are solidly blue counties and red counties? As of February 2023, California had the most mass shootings in the United States, with 25 total shootings since 1982. The crowd cheers as U.S. President Donald Trump speaks during a 'Make America Great Again' campaign rally at Williamsport Regional . *Counties are colored red or blue when the % expected vote reporting reaches a set threshold. Eight of the states hardest hit by the coronavirusNew Jersey, Rhode Island, Massachusetts. PUBLISHED: November 5, 2020 at 11:39 a.m. | UPDATED: November 5, 2020 at 7:29 p.m. Pennsylvania's continued ballot count from the general election showed the state possibly flipping from red to .